Trying something new here. I’m picking one of the favorites from an upcoming stakes race and doing a pedigree analysis on him/her. Then I’ll follow up with doing one on the winner of the race. For this first one, I’ll be doing it on Ohio (BRZ) who is entered in the Cotton Fitzsimmons Mile H. It will be a mile on the turf with a purse of $75,000. It will be run on Saturday, January the 11th.
His sire is Elusive Quality. He raced in the late 90s and accumulated more than $400,000 and had 20 starts under his belt before he retired. That is an awesome feat by itself. His race record includes most of his races finishing in the money with 9 wins and 2 graded stakes wins.
His DP is (11-16-22-1-0) with a DI of 3.17 and a CD of +0.74. His AWD of 7.2 furlongs. Based solely on dosage, he should have been better at a little longer of a distance, closer to 8.5 furlongs, but I’m sure there was a reason for it that goes beyond a horse’s DP. He’s close to a DI of 4, so it would have been interesting to see him run in those longer races.
Momma is Etoile Blanc (BRZ). She raced 10 times, one of the races was a G3 race in Brazil which she won. The Grand Premio Presidente Fabio da Silva Prado [G3]. Her DP is 4-0-10-7-1
Ohio (BRZ) has a real chance for some good things in 2020. Coming off a great year in 2019 and even winning a [G1] race, he has a good shot at winning this race. He is dropping in class with his last race being a [G3] where he finished 2nd. So dropping down to a $75,000 handicap seems like an obvious choice for a morning-line favorite.
Her DP (7-6-13-2-0), DI: 2.29 and CD: 0.64 suggests that she’d be best at distances of 8 to 8.5 furlongs. With his races ran in North America (can’t find the results from South America. There are 4 wins there), his AWD has been 8 furlongs, so right where he should be. This upcoming race is an 8-furlong race, so he should be alright.
He ended up winning the race, so I’m shooting myself in the foot for not posting this before the race. Chart can be found here